Koki Matsuda vs Weitao Xu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance affect match outcomes? Matsuda has a slight edge, winning 43.37% of points in recent form compared to Xu's 39.42%.
• Regarding return games, Matsuda narrowly leads on the opponent's second serve returns at 41.41%, whereas Xu is at 41.32%.
• When comparing effectiveness in first serve returns, Matsuda excels with a 25.67% success rate, outperforming Xu's 20.74%.
• Under pressure, Matsuda shows resilience, saving 49.12% of breakpoints, while Xu manages 40%.
• In overall match performance over the last year, Matsuda shows a stronger record with a 70.21% win rate compared to Xu's 57.14%.
• Xu performs best on Hard courts with a 58% win rate, while Matsuda thrives on I.hard surfaces with an 80% win rate.
• Both players have played primarily in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with Matsuda winning 70.21% of matches, a significant lead over Xu's 57.14%.
• Xu has faced tougher competition with an average opponent rank of 213.8, while Matsuda's opponents averaged a rank of 359.47.
• Does deciding set success predict resilience? Xu has an advantage, winning 60% of deciding sets over the last year, compared to Matsuda's 50%.
• Both players demonstrate similar efficiency in break point conversion—Xu converts 33.33% while Matsuda converts 33.78%.

Editorial Prediction (July 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent form and overall performance, Matsuda appears to have an edge over Xu in several key areas, including second serve points won and breakpoint resilience. Matsuda's superior performance on I.hard surfaces further underscores this advantage in specific conditions.

Despite Xu's notable success in deciding sets and tougher opponent faced, the general statistics slightly favor Matsuda. This is especially evident in Matsuda's higher match win percentage and improved performance on returns.

Given the comparative strengths and weaknesses and accounting for surface preferences and opponent quality, Matsuda is the more likely victor in this upcoming tennis match against Xu.